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Capital Markets

Tasnee Swings to 1.33B SAR Loss in Nine Months

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — National Industrialization Company (Tasnee) posted a net loss of 1.33 billion SAR for the nine months ending September 30, 2026, swinging sharply from a 271.5 million SAR profit in the same period a year earlier. Revenue fell 29.7% to 1.32 billion SAR, as operational and supply chain disruptions cut sales volumes across most product lines.

The turnaround into deep loss territory reflects a painful combination of asset impairments, weak volumes, and losses from joint ventures. Even higher selling prices for most products were not enough to offset the structural damage.

Quarterly Breakdown

In Q3 2026 alone, Tasnee recorded a net loss of 438.8 million SAR, an improvement from both the year-ago loss of 558.5 million SAR and the prior quarter’s loss of 547.8 million SAR. Revenue for Q3 came in at 444.4 million SAR, down 31.2% year-on-year but up 16.9% from Q2 2026. The sequential revenue gain was driven by higher sales volumes, though average selling prices declined quarter-on-quarter. Gross profit turned negative at minus 2 million SAR in Q3, compared to a gross profit of 11.9 million SAR a year ago and a gross loss of 52.2 million SAR in Q2.

Key Drivers

  • Non-financial asset impairments of 886 million SAR for the nine-month period (Tasnee’s share: 494 million SAR), tied to subsidiaries Saudi Acrylic Monomers Company (SAMCO) and Advanced Smelting Industries Company (ASIC Slagger).
  • Lower sales volumes across most product lines due to ongoing operational and supply chain challenges.
  • Higher losses from joint ventures, including Saudi Ethylene and Polyethylene Company (SEPC), impacted by industry headwinds, maintenance shutdowns, and expansion activity.
  • Reduced losses from associate Tronox Holdings plc, primarily because of a lower impairment on that investment compared to prior periods.
  • The prior-year nine-month period included a one-time positive impact of 2.03 billion SAR (Tasnee share: 1.06 billion SAR) from debt restructuring of the Acrylic Complex — a boost that did not recur.
  • Total shareholders’ equity fell 34.7% year-on-year to 6.43 billion SAR.

Corporate Actions

During Q3 2026, Tasnee completed the sale of its full stake in Al Rowad Industrial Transformation Company (RITC) to Saudi Holding Company for Conversion Industries (Tahweel) on August 31, 2026, for a final consideration of 684 million SAR. The transaction generated a net loss on disposal of 16 million SAR and has been classified under discontinued operations per IFRS 5.

Separately, Tasnee repurchased 8.3 million shares during Q3 2026 for 77.1 million SAR, bringing its cumulative buyback since 2025 to 13.4 million shares at a total cost of 130.3 million SAR. These shares are held as treasury stock and deducted from equity under applicable accounting standards.

What This Means for Investors

  • The loss per share stands at minus 2.00 SAR for the nine-month period, compared to a gain of 0.41 SAR in the same period last year — a stark reversal for shareholders.
  • Recurring impairments at SAMCO and ASIC Slagger signal structural problems in those subsidiaries, not one-off events, raising questions about future write-downs.
  • The RITC disposal at a small loss suggests Tasnee is shedding underperforming assets, but the proceeds do little to offset the scale of losses this year.
  • With shareholders’ equity down by more than a third year-on-year, balance sheet deterioration is accelerating — a key risk metric investors should monitor closely.

 

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THE SAUDI STANDARD’S VIEW: TASNEE’S CRISIS REVEALS THE COST OF INDUSTRIAL OVEREXPOSURE

Tasnee’s nine-month results represent one of the more consequential financial deteriorations among Saudi industrial conglomerates in recent memory. A swing from profit to a 1.33 billion SAR loss, driven by impairments, joint venture drag, and collapsing revenue, forces investors to reassess not just this company but the broader risks embedded in Saudi Arabia’s petrochemical and industrial manufacturing sector during a period of global commodity stress.

• IMPAIRMENTS SIGNAL STRUCTURAL, NOT CYCLICAL, DAMAGE

The 886 million SAR in non-financial asset impairments tied to SAMCO and ASIC Slagger cannot be dismissed as temporary market noise. When impairments recur across multiple reporting periods at the same subsidiaries, they indicate that the underlying business models face fundamental viability challenges. Investors should price in the probability of further write-downs rather than assume stabilization.

• ASSET DISPOSAL STRATEGY LACKS TRANSFORMATIVE SCALE

The RITC sale to Tahweel for 684 million SAR, which still generated a net disposal loss, confirms that Tasnee is in active portfolio rationalization mode. While shedding underperforming assets is strategically sound, the proceeds are insufficient to materially repair a balance sheet where shareholders’ equity has contracted by more than a third in a single year. Meaningful deleveraging will require either a larger divestiture program or a capital raise.

• SHARE BUYBACKS RAISE CAPITAL ALLOCATION QUESTIONS

Repurchasing 13.4 million shares at a total cost of 130.3 million SAR while recording billion-riyal losses presents a capital allocation tension that institutional investors will scrutinize carefully. Treasury stock acquisitions reduce equity further and consume liquidity that could otherwise support operational stabilization. Management will need to justify this posture clearly against the backdrop of ongoing financial pressure.

• SEQUENTIAL IMPROVEMENT IS REAL BUT INSUFFICIENT

Q3 2026 did show measurable sequential progress — losses narrowed, revenue grew quarter-on-quarter, and gross loss shrank substantially from the prior quarter. However, a negative gross margin and a 438.8 million SAR quarterly net loss confirm that operations remain far from self-sustaining. Investors should treat the sequential improvement as a stabilization signal, not a recovery signal, until operating cash flow turns consistently positive.

Tasnee’s difficulties serve as a timely stress test for the industrial diversification ambitions central to Vision 2030. Building a resilient non-oil manufacturing base requires that anchor companies like Tasnee maintain robust balance sheets and operationally viable subsidiaries — conditions that are currently absent. Saudi policymakers and market participants alike have an interest in whether Tasnee can restructure effectively, because the company’s trajectory will inform confidence in the Kingdom’s broader industrial investment thesis for years to come.