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Capital Markets

Makkah Construction Nine-Month Profit Rises 9.5%

Makkah, Saudi Arabia — Makkah Construction and Development Co. reported net profit of 415.6 million SAR for the nine months ending 30 September 2026, up 9.5% from 379.7 million SAR in the same period a year earlier. Revenue climbed 21.6% to 1,103.7 million SAR, driven by strong Hajj and retail growth. The results reflect a business that earns most of its money in a narrow seasonal window — a structural reality that shapes every quarterly comparison.

Q3 Tells a Different Story

The third quarter alone looked far weaker. Revenue fell 46.7% year-on-year to 151.4 million SAR, down from 284.3 million SAR in Q3 2025. Net profit slipped 5.4% to 80.8 million SAR from 85.4 million SAR. The sequential decline was even sharper — revenue dropped 78.4% from Q2’s 700.9 million SAR, and net profit fell 53.2% from Q2’s 172.6 million SAR. Both moves reflect the same underlying fact: the Hajj season landed almost entirely in Q2 this year, whereas part of it fell in Q3 last year.

Total comprehensive income told a strikingly different story. It surged 806.6% year-on-year in Q3 to 261.1 million SAR from 28.8 million SAR. For the nine-month period, comprehensive income rose 80.5% to 621.9 million SAR. This divergence from net profit likely reflects fair value or investment-related movements not captured in the operating income line.

Key Drivers

  • Hajj revenue added approximately 142 million SAR to nine-month revenue, as the segment expanded its activities during the 2026 season.
  • Retail revenue contributed approximately 48 million SAR in nine-month growth, supported by higher lease rates and a larger leased area. Retail segment profit improved by roughly 52 million SAR year-on-year.
  • Hospitality revenue grew approximately 6 million SAR for the nine months, with higher average daily rates offsetting about 13% of room inventory being temporarily offline for renovation.
  • Net investment income declined approximately 11 million SAR over the nine-month period, partially eroding operating gains.
  • Higher expenses and other items created an additional headwind of approximately 10 million SAR for the period.

What This Means for Investors

  • Seasonality is the dominant risk. With Hajj and Ramadan driving the bulk of revenue, quarterly results are structurally volatile. Q3 is structurally the weakest quarter and should be evaluated accordingly.
  • The renovation programme creates a near-term drag. With roughly one-third of hotel room inventory offline in Q3, hospitality revenue and profit are running below their potential. The payoff depends on when renovated rooms return to service.
  • Retail is the quiet engine. A 52 million SAR improvement in retail segment profit year-on-year is meaningful. Higher lease rates and expanded leased area suggest this segment is strengthening structurally, not just cyclically.
  • Shareholders’ equity grew modestly to 4,153 million SAR from 4,098.9 million SAR, a 1.3% increase — steady but not spectacular given the profit growth rate.

 

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THE SAUDI STANDARD’S VIEW: MAKKAH CONSTRUCTION’S NUMBERS REWARD PATIENCE, NOT PANIC

Makkah Construction and Development Co. delivered a nine-month performance that demands careful reading. The headline profit growth of 9.5% and revenue expansion of 21.6% are strategically significant, but the real story lies beneath the surface — in the divergence between operating profit and comprehensive income, the structural rhythm of seasonal earnings, and the long-term repositioning of the company’s asset base.

• SEASONALITY IS A FEATURE, NOT A FLAW

Investors who evaluate Makkah Construction on a quarter-by-quarter basis are applying the wrong analytical framework. The business is structurally anchored to the Islamic calendar, meaning the timing of Hajj relative to fiscal quarters will always distort period comparisons. Disciplined investors should anchor their assessment to nine-month and full-year figures, where the underlying earnings trajectory is both clearer and more encouraging.

• THE COMPREHENSIVE INCOME SIGNAL DESERVES ATTENTION

A 806.6% surge in Q3 comprehensive income relative to net profit growth of negative 5.4% is not a rounding error — it reflects a materially different underlying dynamic, most likely tied to fair value movements in the company’s investment portfolio or real estate holdings. If sustained, this represents a secondary value engine operating alongside the core operating business. Investors should monitor whether these gains are recurring in nature or one-time revaluations.

• RETAIL IS BECOMING A STRUCTURAL PILLAR

A year-on-year retail segment profit improvement driven by both higher lease rates and expanded leased area indicates pricing power and operational discipline, not merely cyclical demand. As foot traffic around the Grand Mosque continues to grow with expanding pilgrim capacity, Makkah Construction’s retail exposure positions it as a direct beneficiary of infrastructure-driven demand rather than a passive landlord. This segment deserves greater weight in long-term valuation models.

• RENOVATION DRAG IS A TIMED INVESTMENT, NOT A LOSS

Approximately one-third of hotel room inventory being temporarily offline in Q3 is suppressing hospitality revenue at a moment when average daily rates are actually rising — a constructive signal for revenue potential once renovated capacity is restored. The critical variable for investors is the return-to-service timeline, as each quarter of delayed reactivation represents measurable deferred income. When inventory is fully online, the hospitality segment’s earnings contribution should step up meaningfully.

Makkah Construction sits at the intersection of two of Saudi Arabia’s most durable growth themes: the Kingdom’s commitment to expanding Hajj and Umrah capacity under Vision 2030’s target of 30 million pilgrims annually, and the broader transformation of Makkah into a world-class religious tourism destination. The company’s retail strengthening, hospitality renovation programme, and investment income base collectively reflect a business that is not simply riding seasonal demand but actively repositioning its asset mix for a higher-revenue future. For long-term investors aligned with the Vision 2030 trajectory, the nine-month results affirm that the fundamentals remain on track.